Pre-tourney Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#183
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#176
Pace64.6#254
Improvement-5.7#346

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#252
First Shot-5.1#300
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#53
Layup/Dunks+1.8#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#295
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement+0.1#176

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#101
First Shot+1.6#122
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#92
Layups/Dunks+4.3#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#236
Freethrows-4.1#343
Improvement-5.8#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 213   UC Davis W 78-64 59%     1 - 0 +10.7 +6.9 +3.8
  Nov 12, 2016 323   Northern Arizona W 69-65 83%     2 - 0 -6.8 -9.4 +2.5
  Nov 13, 2016 110   @ Santa Clara W 69-61 26%     3 - 0 +13.7 +10.1 +4.9
  Nov 19, 2016 56   @ Middle Tennessee W 74-63 12%     4 - 0 +23.1 +11.7 +12.0
  Nov 23, 2016 196   @ Canisius W 72-58 44%     5 - 0 +14.8 +3.8 +12.3
  Nov 29, 2016 34   @ Vanderbilt L 59-83 8%     5 - 1 -9.1 +0.9 -12.8
  Dec 03, 2016 164   @ Lipscomb W 72-71 37%     6 - 1 +3.6 -0.8 +4.5
  Dec 10, 2016 94   North Carolina St. L 55-67 OT 29%     6 - 2 -7.2 -17.6 +10.2
  Dec 14, 2016 342   Alabama St. W 68-46 94%     7 - 2 +3.8 -15.5 +18.3
  Dec 19, 2016 10   @ Duke L 55-65 3%     7 - 3 +10.9 -3.1 +12.6
  Dec 31, 2016 202   @ Murray St. L 83-92 46%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -8.7 +3.9 -12.2
  Jan 02, 2017 252   Kennesaw St. L 73-76 75%     7 - 5 -10.9 -11.5 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2017 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 65-62 72%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -3.9 -8.7 +4.9
  Jan 07, 2017 211   Tennessee Martin W 76-65 68%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +5.4 +2.6 +3.4
  Jan 12, 2017 273   @ Eastern Kentucky W 63-49 63%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +9.8 -2.3 +14.0
  Jan 14, 2017 203   @ Morehead St. L 85-87 46%     10 - 6 3 - 2 -1.9 +10.1 -12.0
  Jan 19, 2017 259   Tennessee Tech L 74-80 OT 76%     10 - 7 3 - 3 -14.1 -8.9 -4.6
  Jan 21, 2017 176   Jacksonville St. L 79-86 59%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -10.1 +10.4 -21.1
  Jan 25, 2017 313   @ SIU Edwardsville W 76-56 74%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +12.3 +10.0 +4.7
  Jan 28, 2017 97   Belmont L 76-93 39%     11 - 9 4 - 5 -14.9 +5.0 -20.3
  Feb 02, 2017 225   Eastern Illinois L 67-77 OT 71%     11 - 10 4 - 6 -16.6 -5.2 -11.8
  Feb 04, 2017 288   @ Austin Peay W 70-66 67%     12 - 10 5 - 6 -1.4 -3.1 +2.1
  Feb 09, 2017 259   @ Tennessee Tech W 72-59 59%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +9.9 +9.5 +2.3
  Feb 11, 2017 176   @ Jacksonville St. L 57-63 39%     13 - 11 6 - 7 -4.0 -4.8 -0.3
  Feb 16, 2017 203   Morehead St. W 64-52 65%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +7.1 -14.8 +21.6
  Feb 18, 2017 273   Eastern Kentucky W 68-66 79%     15 - 11 8 - 7 -7.3 -4.0 -3.2
  Feb 25, 2017 97   @ Belmont L 63-68 22%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +2.2 +1.1 +0.3
  Mar 01, 2017 230   Southeast Missouri St. L 75-78 OT 63%     15 - 13 -7.4 -11.9 +5.0
Projected Record 15.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%